Atletico Nacional 1-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.53/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.07
+13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
18.9 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Junior
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2025 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
26.05.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-3 HT 0-2 Junior Junior KOL
27.09.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-3 Junior Junior KOL
03.03.2024 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.09.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
11.04.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
1-1
AWAY Junior
2.04 xG 0.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
29 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
343 Passes 214
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 6
28 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional and Junior couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Atletico Nacional carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 60% of the ball to Junior's 40%, shots finished 29-6, expected goals 2.04 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.67 for Junior.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Atletico Nacional 1-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 60%, draw 22%, Junior 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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