Livingston 2-4 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.49
Away Pick
66%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.33
Over
53%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.64
2-3
40%
1.92
4-5
25%
2.79
6+
10%
7.57
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.64 — our 25% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.45
1/2
9%
20.6
1/X
6%
20.0
X/1
4%
14.35
X/2
20%
4.02
X/X
6%
7.19
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
38%
1.69
2/X
6%
17.55
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic The Market 70%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -24%
0.89/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.92
-19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 83%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.7
15.5 Crosses 22.7
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Celtic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.33 xG 2.51
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
149 Passes 588
57% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 53
11 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.08.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
31.03.2024 Livingston Livingston 0-3 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
10.03.2024 Celtic Celtic 4-2 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKK
23.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
23.09.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-3 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
01.02.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
2-4
AWAY Celtic
1.09 xG 3.83
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 4
209 Passes 566
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 35
32 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Livingston vs Celtic
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Celtic saw off Livingston 4-2 on their travels. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.58, about 63%.

The match data tells the story: Celtic saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.09 to 3.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Livingston against 3.00 for Celtic.

Livingston vs Celtic Result & Final Score

Livingston 2-4 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Livingston vs Celtic Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Livingston 15%, draw 19%, Celtic 66%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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