Hibernian 3-2 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.92
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
21%
3.86
6+
10%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.35
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
13%
6.13
X/2
9%
5.37
X/X
14%
4.35
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
17%
3.55
2/X
8%
13.15
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts The Market 42%
-6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.63/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.19
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
220 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
21.9 Crosses 22.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hearts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 1.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
208 Passes 345
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.03.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
26.12.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.10.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
28.02.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.12.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
3-2
AWAY Hearts
1.51 xG 1.73
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
160 Passes 386
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Hibernian vs Hearts
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hibernian shaded a tight game against Hearts 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 31% / 34%); Hibernian picked one for it.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Hibernian had 33% of the ball to Hearts's 67%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.51 to 1.73.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hibernian and 1.00 for Hearts.

Hibernian vs Hearts Result & Final Score

Hibernian 3-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hibernian vs Hearts Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 35%, draw 31%, Hearts 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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