Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.03
Over
50%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.69
No
46%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.71
2-3
43%
1.82
4-5
21%
3.18
6+
10%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.35
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
9%
8.86
X/X
8%
5.37
2/1
13%
22.7
2/2
11%
6.69
2/X
8%
15.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 13% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United The Market 26%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.72/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.49
+15% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
24.0 Crosses 20.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dundee United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
378 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 24
32 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
17.05.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
02.03.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-2 HT 0-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
29.12.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
26.10.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-1
AWAY Dundee United
1.09 xG 0.80
72% Ball Possession 28%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
469 Passes 131
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
29 Box Touches 21
33 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Aberdeen vs Dundee United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aberdeen and Dundee United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 1.76 (roughly 57%) the price was further off than we were.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.76, about 57%.

By the numbers, Aberdeen had 72% of the ball to Dundee United's 28%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.09 to 0.80.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aberdeen and 1.33 for Dundee United.

Aberdeen vs Dundee United Result & Final Score

Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aberdeen vs Dundee United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 49%, draw 25%, Dundee United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberdeen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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