Harborough Town 4-2 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +26%
1.32/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.07
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Kettering Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2025 Kettering Town Kettering Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
30.04.2025 Kettering Town Kettering Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
01.01.2025 Harborough Town Harborough Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
26.08.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town beat Kettering Town 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Harborough Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harborough Town and 0.50 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Kettering Town?

Harborough Town 4-2 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 54%, draw 28%, Kettering Town 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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