Real Bedford 1-3 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.21
Over 2.5
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
+0.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Bedford EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.90
-5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Bedford
0W-1D-0L
AWAY St Ives Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.08.2025 St Ives Town St Ives Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Bedford Real Bedford İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Bedford
1-3
AWAY St Ives Town
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Bedford vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town beat Real Bedford 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Bedford at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Real Bedford had 68% of the ball to St Ives Town's 32%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Real Bedford vs St Ives Town?

Real Bedford 1-3 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Bedford vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Bedford win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Real Bedford 61%, draw 18%, St Ives Town 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Bedford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Bedford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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