AFC Sudbury 0-3 Bury Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.97
Over 2.5
63%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.7pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
47%
-10.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
53%
+10.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.8pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bury Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bury Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.10.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 4-0 HT 0-0 Bury Town Bury Town İNFAT
25.08.2025 Bury Town Bury Town 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Bury Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bury Town cruised past AFC Sudbury 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bury Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Sudbury and 0.50 for Bury Town.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Bury Town?

AFC Sudbury 0-3 Bury Town in the England - Non League Premier on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Bury Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bury Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 37%, draw 19%, Bury Town 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bury Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bury Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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