Leiston 0-1 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.3pp
18%
Draw
26%
-8.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.13/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
-22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Needham Market
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.08.2025 Needham Market Needham Market 1-2 HT 1-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
13.02.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 5-0 HT 3-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Leiston Leiston 0-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 0-1 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
01.02.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 3-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market squeezed past Leiston 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leiston at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leiston and 1.67 for Needham Market.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Needham Market?

Leiston 0-1 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leiston 45%, draw 18%, Needham Market 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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