Al Shabab Manama 0-1 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
60%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.87
6+ Goals
7%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 30% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
12%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
59%
Away Win
66%
-6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 70%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.30/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.01
+68% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Riffa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
18.01.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
08.04.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 4-2 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
21.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
19.02.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
11.09.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0-1
AWAY Al Riffa
38% Ball Possession 62%
1 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa nicked a narrow win over Al Shabab Manama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 38% of the ball to Al Riffa's 62%, shots finished 1-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Manama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 1.50 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa?

Al Shabab Manama 0-1 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 16%, draw 24%, Al Riffa 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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