Cadiz 0-0 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Jan 2024

Cadiz
0-0 HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.59
Over 2.5
33%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
43%
2.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.95
6+ Goals
6%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 43% vs market 34.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
7.16
1/2
4%
29.5
1/X
11%
15.95
X/1
13%
8.27
X/2
19%
3.9
X/X
8%
3.95
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.51
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+11.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-9.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cadiz v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
0.96/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.01
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.6 Crosses 20.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.06 xG 1.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
262 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
03.02.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 4-1 HT 3-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
29.08.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 0-4 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
21.04.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 2-3 HT 0-3 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
05.11.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
15.02.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 0-4 HT 0-3 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Cadiz 0-0 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
0-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.36 xG 0.24
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 8
241 Passes 382
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cadiz had 42% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 58%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.36 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cadiz and 3.00 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao?

Cadiz 0-0 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 34%, draw 26%, Athletic Bilbao 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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