UCAM Murcia 0-2 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-11.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.99/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.32
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Orihuela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Orihuela Orihuela 1-1 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
0-2
AWAY Orihuela
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela saw off UCAM Murcia 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UCAM Murcia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 55% of the ball to Orihuela's 45%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela?

UCAM Murcia 0-2 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 49%, draw 30%, Orihuela 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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