Toulouse vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toulouse v Lens — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Toulouse
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Lens
FR1
3-0
HT 0-0
Toulouse
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Toulouse
FR1
0-2
HT 0-2
Lens
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Toulouse
FR1
Toulouse 0-2 Lens — Actual Match Statistics
Lens got the better of Toulouse 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Lens made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Toulouse had 53% of the ball to Lens's 47%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.87 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Toulouse.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Toulouse and 1.50 for Lens.
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Lens?
Toulouse 0-2 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Lens?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 33%, draw 30%, Lens 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.