Barnet 2-0 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Jan 2025

Barnet
2-0 HT 0-0
Hartlepool United
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Barnet vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 28% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.99
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.29
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
13%
6.25
2/1
8%
19.95
2/2
10%
7.82
2/X
9%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnet v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
2.30/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/2.30
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Barnet vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
02.03.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-2 HT 0-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
05.08.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-2 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
27.02.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
24.11.2020 Barnet Barnet 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
01.02.2020 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL

Barnet 2-0 Hartlepool United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
2-0
AWAY Hartlepool United
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
2 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet beat Hartlepool United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Barnet had 66% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 34%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barnet and 0.83 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Hartlepool United?

Barnet 2-0 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barnet 49%, draw 28%, Hartlepool United 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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