Southend United 2-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
20%
3.98
X/2
6%
11.25
X/X
13%
5.93
2/1
7%
21.5
2/2
10%
9.11
2/X
5%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
1.73/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.17
-10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
124 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 99 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
13.04.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
23.09.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Southend United vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United saw off AFC Fylde 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Southend United had 53% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 47%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Southend United and 1.33 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Southend United vs AFC Fylde?

Southend United 2-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Southend United 54%, draw 25%, AFC Fylde 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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