AFC Fylde 0-2 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 31% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.66
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
13%
6.52
X/2
15%
4.77
X/X
15%
4.71
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
12%
3.01
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.61/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.09
+23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Southend United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.09.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
0-2
AWAY Southend United
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United beat AFC Fylde 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Southend United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 48% of the ball to Southend United's 52%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Southend United?

AFC Fylde 0-2 Southend United in the England - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 36%, draw 30%, Southend United 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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