Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
14%
4.1
X/2
10%
7.87
X/X
8%
4.74
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
11%
6.18
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
0.89/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.83
-46% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 2-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
09.02.2016 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-2 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
19.12.2015 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-1 HT 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
25.04.2015 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
10.03.2015 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-3 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
25.10.2014 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
0-1
AWAY Eastleigh
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh nicked a narrow win over Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kidderminster Harriers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 61% of the ball to Eastleigh's 39%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 2.17 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Eastleigh?

Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 48%, draw 25%, Eastleigh 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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