Wealdstone 1-0 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.09 — our 25% vs market 15.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.21
1/2
7%
20.35
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
7%
9.3
X/2
13%
4.36
X/X
15%
6.05
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.18
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.1pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 57%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.40/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.34
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
178 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Chesterfield
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-2 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
14.03.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-4 HT 0-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
21.02.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
09.04.2022 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
28.08.2021 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
15.05.2021 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-0
AWAY Chesterfield
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone squeezed past Chesterfield 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 39% of the ball to Chesterfield's 61%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wealdstone and 2.00 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Chesterfield?

Wealdstone 1-0 Chesterfield in the England - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 30%, draw 26%, Chesterfield 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ BTTS No
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