Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.02 — our 28% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.87
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.17
X/2
14%
6.85
X/X
11%
5.62
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
17%
4.24
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.9pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.45/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.66
-7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Altrincham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 6-1 HT 4-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
16.01.2010 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.08.2009 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
31.03.2009 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
04.10.2008 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 2-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
19.04.2008 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0-2
AWAY Altrincham
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham got the better of Ebbsfleet United 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Altrincham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 59% of the ball to Altrincham's 41%, shots finished 27-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.83 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Altrincham?

Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Altrincham in the England - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 37%, draw 26%, Altrincham 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ BTTS No
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