Rochdale 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Apr 2024

Rochdale
1-1 HT 0-0
Dorking Wanderers
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Rochdale vs Dorking Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
7.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.67 — our 30% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.12
X/2
9%
10.4
X/X
13%
5.94
2/1
6%
20.9
2/2
13%
7.32
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v Dorking Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.15/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.74
-35% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
309 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rochdale vs Dorking Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL

Rochdale 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
1-1
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale and Dorking Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rochdale at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 61% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 39%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Dorking Wanderers?

Rochdale 1-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 48%, draw 26%, Dorking Wanderers 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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