Hartlepool United 1-2 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.02
1/2
5%
21.85
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.5
X/2
14%
4.67
X/X
11%
5.46
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
23%
2.6
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.64/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.33
+26% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barnet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-2 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
27.02.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
24.11.2020 Barnet Barnet 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
01.02.2020 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
26.10.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
16.03.2019 Barnet Barnet 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-2
AWAY Barnet
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet edged past Hartlepool United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 52% of the ball to Barnet's 48%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartlepool United and 0.83 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Barnet?

Hartlepool United 1-2 Barnet in the England - National League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 31%, draw 26%, Barnet 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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