Linfield FC 1-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 28 Jan 2026

📅28/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.81
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.35
X/1
17%
3.88
X/2
7%
13.15
X/X
14%
5.81
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
10%
11.45
2/X
7%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-15.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 18%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-100% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
25.10.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
16.09.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
07.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
09.11.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
10.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
24.02.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC squeezed past Ballymena United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Linfield FC and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Linfield FC 1-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - League Cup on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 49%, draw 27%, Ballymena United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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