Wolverhampton 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Feb 2024

Wolverhampton
1-0 HT 1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Wolverhampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.63
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.58
X/2
13%
5.64
X/X
9%
4.78
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.68
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.89/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.17
-98% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.1
25.0 Crosses 26.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.6

Wolverhampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.17 xG 2.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 516
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.01.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
19.08.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-4 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
29.04.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 6-0 HT 4-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
05.11.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-3 HT 2-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
30.04.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-3 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
15.12.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Wolverhampton 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
1-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.13 xG 1.56
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
194 Passes 590
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 47
10 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton edged past Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) promised a tight game; Wolverhampton found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 28% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 72%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.13 to 1.56 — on chances, Brighton & Hove Albion could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wolverhampton and 2.67 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Wolverhampton 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - FA Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 40%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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