Olympiakos U19 2-2 Lens U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over Pick
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.77
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
28%
3.23
6+
6%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.14
1/2
3%
23.15
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
12%
8.45
X/2
24%
4.32
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.4
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · X/2 at 4.32 — our 24% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos U19 The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens U19 The Market 56%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos U19
2-2
AWAY Lens U19
2.32 xG 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Olympiakos U19 vs Lens U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos U19 and Lens U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lens U19 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Olympiakos U19 had 51% of the ball to Lens U19's 49%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.32 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Olympiakos U19 vs Lens U19?

Olympiakos U19 2-2 Lens U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos U19 vs Lens U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos U19 27%, draw 24%, Lens U19 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lens U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lens U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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