Real Madrid U19 2-0 RB Leipzig U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.61
Over
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.81
2-3
33%
2.04
4-5
29%
2.6
6+
14%
5.99
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.81 — our 24% vs market 12.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
26.5
X/1
16%
3.45
X/2
4%
24.0
X/X
9%
9.6
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
5%
17.7
2/X
7%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Real Madrid U19 win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.7pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.5pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig U19 The Market 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.74/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.59
+23% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
39.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
25.1 Crosses 9.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid U19
1W-1D-0L
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.09 xG 1.09
66% Ball Possession 34%
28 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
449 Passes 175
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
43 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2022 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 2-3 HT 1-2 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 UEGL
14.09.2022 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 1-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
2-0
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
1.08 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
407 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 beat RB Leipzig U19 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 58% of the ball to RB Leipzig U19's 42%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.08 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid U19 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Madrid U19 and 1.50 for RB Leipzig U19.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Real Madrid U19 2-0 RB Leipzig U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 65%, draw 21%, RB Leipzig U19 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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