Salzburg U19 0-1 Nantes U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.61
Over Pick
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
25%
5.93
2-3
37%
2.06
4-5
27%
2.58
6+
11%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.84
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
19%
4.06
X/2
10%
11.9
X/X
9%
7.02
2/1
4%
19.3
2/2
13%
7.92
2/X
5%
15.75
Value flag · X/2 at 11.9 — our 10% vs market 5.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg U19 The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes U19 The Market 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
37.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.9 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg U19
0-1
AWAY Nantes U19
1.10 xG 0.95
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
375 Passes 145
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
42 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg U19 vs Nantes U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes U19 edged past Salzburg U19 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg U19 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salzburg U19 had 66% of the ball to Nantes U19's 34%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Salzburg U19 vs Nantes U19?

Salzburg U19 0-1 Nantes U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg U19 vs Nantes U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Salzburg U19 53%, draw 19%, Nantes U19 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Salzburg U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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