BFC Dynamo 1-4 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.24/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.73
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Dynamo
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-2 HT 0-2 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
23.02.2024 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
03.09.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 5-0 HT 4-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 1-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV ran out comfortable winners over BFC Dynamo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was BFC Dynamo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, BFC Dynamo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for BFC Dynamo and 0.40 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder SV?

BFC Dynamo 1-4 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Dynamo vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split BFC Dynamo 44%, draw 30%, Greifswalder SV 26%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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