Steinbach 3-3 Lehnerz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steinbach EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.99/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.78
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Steinbach
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lehnerz
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 0-1 HT 0-1 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
28.03.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 2-3 HT 2-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Steinbach Steinbach 1-3 HT 1-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Steinbach vs Lehnerz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach and Lehnerz shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Steinbach at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Steinbach and 1.40 for Lehnerz.

What was the final score of Steinbach vs Lehnerz?

Steinbach 3-3 Lehnerz in the Germany - Regional League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steinbach vs Lehnerz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 42%, draw 28%, Lehnerz 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Steinbach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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