Sportfreunde Lotte 3-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
2.08/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.27
+6% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-4 HT 1-3 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
14.12.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 3-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
14.08.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-1 HT 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
20.02.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
26.09.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 6-0 HT 3-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte and Fortuna Düsseldorf II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sportfreunde Lotte at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportfreunde Lotte had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 1.83 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Sportfreunde Lotte 3-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 48%, draw 26%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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