Central Coast Mariners 1-3 Western United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 28 Feb 2025

Central Coast Mariners
1-3 HT 0-0
Western United
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners vs Western United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
14%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
10%
7.76
X/2
22%
4.85
X/X
7%
5.6
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
21%
2.56
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Western United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.39/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.06
-14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
17.9 Crosses 25.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Central Coast Mariners vs Western United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Western United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.19 xG 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
386 Passes 404
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.01.2025 Western United Western United 2-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
13.04.2024 Western United Western United 0-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
08.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-0 HT 3-0 Western United Western United AVUS
07.04.2023 Western United Western United 0-3 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
29.10.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-2 HT 0-2 Western United Western United AVUS
30.04.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-0 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 1-3 Western United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
1-3
AWAY Western United
1.65 xG 3.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
10 Corners 5
368 Passes 367
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 39
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Western United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United beat Central Coast Mariners 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 51% of the ball to Western United's 49%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.65 to 3.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 0.67 for Western United.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Western United?

Central Coast Mariners 1-3 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Western United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 27%, draw 22%, Western United 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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