Aston Villa U21 1-2 Everton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.4pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Everton U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
278 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Everton U21 Everton U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
1-2
AWAY Everton U21
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
353 Passes 167
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Everton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton U21 squeezed past Aston Villa U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 65% of the ball to Everton U21's 35%, shots finished 12-19.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Everton U21?

Aston Villa U21 1-2 Everton U21 in the INGPL2 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Everton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 47%, draw 23%, Everton U21 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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