Newcastle United U21 4-1 Stoke City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.1pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.00
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +98%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stoke City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 0.66
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
521 Passes 231
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 1-2 HT 1-2 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
4-1
AWAY Stoke City U21
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
520 Passes 173
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 cruised past Stoke City U21 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Newcastle United U21 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 68% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 32%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Newcastle United U21 4-1 Stoke City U21 in the INGPL2 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 40%, draw 23%, Stoke City U21 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United U21) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United U21)
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