Derby County U21 0-1 West Ham United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 28 Feb 2025

Derby County U21
0-1 HT 0-1
West Ham United U21
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Derby County U21 v West Ham United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
3.03/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.36
+76% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY West Ham United U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.37 xG 1.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 8
267 Passes 475
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2024 West Ham United U21 West Ham United U21 3-2 HT 1-1 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 INGPL2-1

Derby County U21 0-1 West Ham United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
0-1
AWAY West Ham United U21
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
348 Passes 182
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United U21 squeezed past Derby County U21 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; West Ham United U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Derby County U21 had 60% of the ball to West Ham United U21's 40%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21?

Derby County U21 0-1 West Ham United U21 in the INGPL2 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derby County U21 vs West Ham United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derby County U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 39%, draw 24%, West Ham United U21 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Derby County U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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