FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 60%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.70/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.84
-46% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
11.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
14.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.09.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
22.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris saw off FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 0.67 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 26%, draw 26%, Kauno Zalgiris 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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