Sepsi 1-1 CFR Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 52%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
0.89/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.90
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
222 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
18.1 Crosses 27.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CFR Cluj
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 2.08
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
183 Passes 333
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 3-3 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
28.04.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
29.03.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 1-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
17.12.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-1 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
05.10.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 3-0 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
20.05.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 1-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
1-1
AWAY CFR Cluj
1.54 xG 2.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
223 Passes 351
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs CFR Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi and CFR Cluj shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CFR Cluj at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sepsi had 42% of the ball to CFR Cluj's 58%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.54 to 2.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sepsi and 2.00 for CFR Cluj.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs CFR Cluj?

Sepsi 1-1 CFR Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs CFR Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated an CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 33%, draw 26%, CFR Cluj 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CFR Cluj) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✓ Under 2.5
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