Vorskla Poltava 1-1 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
59%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
59%
Away Win
74%
-15.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 79%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.70/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.88
-11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
30.10.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKRK
18.09.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 3-1 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
31.03.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-5 HT 0-2 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
18.09.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
04.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
23.10.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava
1-1
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
3 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava and Dynamo Kiev shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dynamo Kiev at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 3-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 2.50 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev?

Vorskla Poltava 1-1 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 19%, draw 22%, Dynamo Kiev 59%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ BTTS No
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