Eastleigh 1-2 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
5%
8.3
X/2
17%
4.39
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.42
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.53/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.61
+28% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +90%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
158 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 118 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Carlisle United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.11.2025 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United nicked a narrow win over Eastleigh 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carlisle United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Carlisle United?

Eastleigh 1-2 Carlisle United in the England - National League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 22%, draw 28%, Carlisle United 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlisle United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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