Tamworth 3-2 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
6.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
7%
9.19
X/2
14%
4.51
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.19
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.5 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.14/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.11
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Boreham Wood
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-2 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
3-2
AWAY Boreham Wood
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth edged past Boreham Wood 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Boreham Wood at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Tamworth had 34% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 66%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Boreham Wood?

Tamworth 3-2 Boreham Wood in the England - National League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 29%, draw 21%, Boreham Wood 50%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boreham Wood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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