Truro City 2-3 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.61
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.51
X/2
6%
7.66
X/X
11%
4.63
2/1
8%
24.8
2/2
12%
5.9
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -27%
1.92/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.90
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
109 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 104 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2026 Truro City Truro City 1-1 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İULK
15.11.2025 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İBSL
27.01.2024 Truro City Truro City 1-2 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
12.08.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 3-2 HT 2-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
2-3
AWAY Braintree Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town squeezed past Truro City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Truro City at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Truro City had 50% of the ball to Braintree Town's 50%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Braintree Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Truro City and 2.00 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Braintree Town?

Truro City 2-3 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Truro City 49%, draw 26%, Braintree Town 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Truro City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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