Hamilton 1-1 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
42%
+10.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.5pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 37%
+27% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.67/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.37
+10% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 0.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Montrose
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
18.10.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-4 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
02.08.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
27.01.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.10.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-3 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
26.08.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.05.2001 Montrose Montrose 1-4 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK2
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton and Montrose shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hamilton at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hamilton and 0.33 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Montrose?

Hamilton 1-1 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 52%, draw 20%, Montrose 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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