Stenhousemuir 1-0 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.71
2-3 Goals
49%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.29/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.99
+46% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cove Rangers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.10.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
09.08.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
22.03.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.01.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-4 HT 0-3 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
03.12.2024 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-3 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
24.08.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-2 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir edged past Cove Rangers 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.00 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Stenhousemuir 1-0 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 45%, draw 22%, Cove Rangers 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Under 2.5
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