The New Saints 0-2 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
71%
-3.1pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.4pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+60% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
474 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Barry Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
24.01.2026 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.10.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
30.08.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.12.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GALLK
02.11.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-4 HT 1-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
14.09.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
0-2
AWAY Barry Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town saw off The New Saints 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. The New Saints carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, The New Saints had 58% of the ball to Barry Town's 42%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for The New Saints and 0.33 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Barry Town?

The New Saints 0-2 Barry Town in the Wales - League Cup on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 68%, draw 17%, Barry Town 15%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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