The New Saints 4-0 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.3
Draw
13%
4.95
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
72%
+3.6pp
13%
Draw
17%
-3.6pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
3.35/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.35
+43% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Barry Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.12.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GALLK
02.11.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-4 HT 1-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
14.09.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
21.10.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 2-6 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
26.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-2 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside Barry Town 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for The New Saints and 1.00 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Barry Town?

The New Saints 4-0 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 76%, draw 13%, Barry Town 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
4 Oct 2025
16:00 Connahs Quay vs Llanelli Town Analysis →
16:30 Cardiff MU vs Bala Town Analysis →
16:30 Haverfordwest County vs Flint Town United Analysis →
19:15 Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town Analysis →