Cardiff MU 2-0 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.35/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.55
-17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bala Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
29.03.2025 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
08.02.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
09.11.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-3 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
07.09.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
16.03.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU got the better of Bala Town 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff MU as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cardiff MU and 0.83 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?

Cardiff MU 2-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 43%, draw 28%, Bala Town 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff MU), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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