Connahs Quay 3-0 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.27
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.99
No
44%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
32%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
6.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
75%
+0.1pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.2pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
46%
+10.0pp
44%
BTTS No
54%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.12/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/3.74
-23% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -34%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
484 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Llanelli Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.03.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 0-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALWK
14.01.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay cruised past Llanelli Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.50 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Llanelli Town?

Connahs Quay 3-0 Llanelli Town in the Wales - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 75%, draw 14%, Llanelli Town 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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