Haverfordwest County 3-1 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.55
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.11
6+ Goals
14%
10.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.17/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.24
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Flint Town United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
02.11.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 4-1 HT 2-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
14.09.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
01.04.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-2 HT 0-2 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
18.02.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-1 HT 2-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
05.11.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
24.09.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County saw off Flint Town United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Haverfordwest County made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.67 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Flint Town United?

Haverfordwest County 3-1 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flint Town United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 36%, draw 27%, Flint Town United 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flint Town United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Town United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
4 Oct 2025
16:00 Connahs Quay vs Llanelli Town Analysis →
16:30 Cardiff MU vs Bala Town Analysis →
16:30 The New Saints vs Barry Town Analysis →
19:15 Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town Analysis →