Loughgall FC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.19/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.75
+10% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.12.2025 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
11.10.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
22.04.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
14.02.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
13.08.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
13.10.2021 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC edged past Warrenpoint Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Loughgall FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Warrenpoint Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.00 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Warrenpoint Town?

Loughgall FC 1-0 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 55%, draw 23%, Warrenpoint Town 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loughgall FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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