Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ards FC v Ballinamallard United — Team-Based Signals
Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ards FC edged past Ballinamallard United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ards FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ards FC and 1.17 for Ballinamallard United.
What was the final score of Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United?
Ards FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 38%, draw 24%, Ballinamallard United 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.