Ballinamallard United 1-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.63
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.06
6+ Goals
7%
10.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.06 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -27%
1.33/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.81
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
25.01.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
07.12.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
24.08.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
20.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-5 HT 0-5 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.01.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United edged past Ards FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ballinamallard United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.00 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Ballinamallard United 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 37%, draw 26%, Ards FC 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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