El Geish 1-0 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.95
No
62%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.92
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
30%
+8.0pp
62%
BTTS No
70%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.38/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.19
-47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
19.6 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.97 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
335 Passes 220
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.12.2024 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 3-0 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
04.05.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-3 HT 2-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
28.12.2022 El Geish El Geish 2-2 HT 0-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
25.09.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
08.01.2020 El Geish El Geish 0-3 HT 0-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
26.12.2015 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-0
AWAY Haras El Hodood
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish nicked a narrow win over Haras El Hodood 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had El Geish as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, El Geish had 47% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 53%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Geish and 1.67 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Haras El Hodood?

El Geish 1-0 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split El Geish 51%, draw 27%, Haras El Hodood 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Geish), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Geish) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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