Al Ahly vs Masr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahly v Masr — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahly vs Masr Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Al Ahly
MSR
3-1
HT 1-0
Masr
MSR
Al Ahly 1-1 Masr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahly and Masr couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahly at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Al Ahly had 65% of the ball to Masr's 35%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 2.29 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahly and 0.40 for Masr.
What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Masr?
Al Ahly 1-1 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Masr?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 58%, draw 26%, Masr 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No went the other way.